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 General Election Countdown who is going to win

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Cornishfield
Dane
Rickler
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Cornish Chris
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Cornish Chris

Cornish Chris


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General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 Empty
PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 1:52 am

Labour just never nailed the Tory crap about what happened in 2008. It was more or less fiction, but it's going to get the Cons over the line.
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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 1:55 am

No gains so far.

Lib Dems losing 10 - 20% of their previous votes in most seats (albeit they didn't hold any of those seats).

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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 1:57 am

Argyle's arguably current most famous fan isn't a UKIPer Very Happy


Woody ‏@Woodythedrum now14 seconds ago wrote:
Shame on those who voted UKIP. Britain's finest deed last century was fighting those who legislated hate. UKIP are 21st C Nazis #fuckUKIP
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Rickler

Rickler


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 1:58 am

Do they still have the 'Swingometer'?
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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:02 am

Rickler wrote:
Do they still have the 'Swingometer'?

BBC's isn't so grand. They show % votes lost/ gained against 2010 and showing a brief swingometer between Tory and Labour.
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Cornish Chris

Cornish Chris


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:11 am

Lib Dems have an MP in Ceredigion/Cardigan.
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Cornish Chris

Cornish Chris


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:12 am

Labour utterly humped in Kilmarnock.
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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:13 am

Lib Dems hold Ceredigion.

First GAIN for SNP (from Labour) in Kilmarnock.
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Cornish Chris

Cornish Chris


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:19 am

A friend of mine at the counts in Glasgow says the city's Labour MPs are conceding.
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Cornish Chris

Cornish Chris


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:22 am

SNP have an MP in Paisley. Who was born in 1995.
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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:23 am

Labour's Douglas Alexander (Shadow Foreign Secretary) loses Paisley South seat to 20 year old SNP student. 27% swing.
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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:27 am

Dunbartonshire West swing of 34% from Labour to SNP.
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Sir Francis Drake

Sir Francis Drake


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:27 am

Douglas Alexander has gone.

The first big beast falls.

(Not that he says much for big beasts.)
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http://sicparvismagna.com
Cornish Chris

Cornish Chris


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:30 am

34% swing to the SNP in Dumbarton. Double the swing away from Portillo in '97.

The SNP candidates are getting 30,000+ almost without exception.

Just phenomenal.
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Cornish Chris

Cornish Chris


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:35 am

Wow. UKIP miles behind in Castle Point - that was a big target for them.

Edit to add: Lib Dems got 80 votes. Eighty.
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Sir Francis Drake

Sir Francis Drake


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:49 am

LD Jo Swinson gone.

Is she a big beast?
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http://sicparvismagna.com
Cornish Chris

Cornish Chris


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:52 am

Sir Francis Drake wrote:
LD Jo Swinson gone.

Is she a big beast?

She was a junior minister wasn't she?

That one was actually (reasonably) close.
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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:53 am

20 year old Mhairie Black is the youngest MP elected since 1667. I think the Scots would elect Rab C Nesbitt if he was running as a SNP candidate.

Gordon Brown's old seat in Kirkcaldy lost to SNP.

Jo Swinson was Employment Minister.
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Sir Francis Drake

Sir Francis Drake


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:54 am

Kirkcaldy (Gordon Brown's old seat) gone to SNP with 35% swing.

35%.

Wow.

(Big Beast dodges bullet?)
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Cornish Chris

Cornish Chris


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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:54 am

35% swing in Gordon Brown's Kirkcaldy/Cowdenbeath. This makes Blair 97 look like a photo finish.
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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:55 am

Couple of Labour gains - Burnley from Lib Dems and Ealing Central from Tories.
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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:56 am

Labour majority of 274 in Ealing Central.
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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 2:57 am

BBC have a proper swingometer now showing predicted national swings.
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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 3:02 am

First Tory gain in Brecon and Radnorshire from Lib Dems.
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Chemical Ali




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PostSubject: Re: General Election Countdown who is going to win   General Election Countdown who is going to win - Page 25 EmptyFri May 08, 2015 3:03 am

General swings (England & Wales) of 7% from Lib Dems to both Labour and Tory.

Scotland 27% from Labour to SNP.
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