cheltenham horses

OK last day of the festival tomorrow and I've backed the following at decent prices

1.30 – 1pt Lac Fontana 25/1 Ante Post

2.05 – 1pt Princeton Plains 20/1

2.40 – 1pt Our Vinnie 14/1

3.20 - 1pt Long Run 14/1 Ante Post

4.00 – 1pt Galant Nuit 33/1

4.40 – 1pt Village Vic 12/1

4.40 – 1pt Bridgets Pet 33/1

The reason why there are quite a few long odds horses winning at this type of meeting is that in every race every horse is trying. Those who follow racing regularly should know what I mean by that. This is the same at Ascot and Epsom and all the big meetings. If this was Fakenham on a Wednesday afternoon and there was a race of 12 horse then more likely only 3 or 4 might be really going for it. The rest are probably having a run out or going for a handicap reduction for future races.

It's ok to have a bet but if you want to have something to cheer where it doesn't matter then a 10p heinz gives you that without losing a fortune and fattening up the bookies. If you do it seriously to try to make some money then odds are you won't.

Yah, but, senso, whose gonna win today forefookinshore?

African Gold is my big tip for the day. 2.40.

backed. each way cos i'm not a hardcase, etc.

Jock's gone quiet............. have to say that I agree with hairy's dad for a change and apart from his valid points, the poor horse might not be feeling well on the day of the race

Worked in a bookies for a year, saw so many sad cases that it cured me.

You don't see many poor bookies.

my top tips for today are
1.30 ROLLING STAR
2.40 AFRICAN GOLD
3.20 SILVINIACO CONTI
5.15 RODY
just about even yestday,
had my crunchy nut cornflakes so must be time to open a cider.
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE.
alot more fun than watchin argyle

I ended up £2.34 up.

YESSSSSSSSSSSSS

Another festival over. I has to go to the hospital with the missus so I've not been online.

Strange day yesterday, wasn't sure if it was going to change to soft ground or how much softer than the first three days.

I backed our connor @11-4, at fishers cross @6-4 and salsify @3-1 in a patent. The fist two won easily but salsify was beaten until the horse leading jinked and the jockey fell off. I was proper gutted for her

Otherwise I pretty much backed Paul Nicholls horse's, and for the 4th day running they were rubbish, except for the one I didn't back which won at 16-1, bastard!

Our connor and At Fishers Cross looked like classy horses. The first demolished the field by 15 lengths. I can't believe I only put it in a cheap bet, I saw it's last win un Ireland and it was really impressive.

Still don't know if Silvianiaco Conti would've stayed the distance, it was still going well until it fell 3 out. I thought Bobs Worth was beaten but he plodded on past the others in the mud. Similar to Synchronised last year. Lots of classy horses just don't have enough left for the hill, especially when it's soft.

I won a nice sum of money yesterday on the dogs. Find them a lot easier to work out usually.

Only 6 runners every race, with some strong trap biases at certain tracks.

On to Aintree next month then. Grand National and all that, and I think a winner at Cheltenham is entered in the National which would be a big form pointer as the horses weights are announced before Cheltenham and can't go up.

With my winnings from this weeks golf, Tiger Woods was a measly 3-1 in a field of over 150 but imo he's as good at the moment as he ever was, 3 wins from 5 tournaments this year, I am going to invest a large chunk on a horse this afternoon.

Cecily Parsley in the 17.00 Southwell. It's a 7 yr old horse that has only ran a handful of times due to injury, had almost 3 years off and the trainer and owner kept it still, so it's quite a fresh horse.

It's trained by Hughie Morrison who has an amazing record with his horses at Southwell over the years, 81 winners and 91 placed out of 328 starts which would've given you £120 profit if you had put £1 on every horse. Robert Havlin is the jokey today and again if you put £1 on every Robert Havlin ridden Hughie Morrison trained horse you would be £56.66 in profit, which aint too shabby at all.

It ran over this distance of 2miles on it's last but one start, and ran really well against a horse who has since won another two races and was beaten in a photo finish. That race was at Lingfield so I reckon this one will definitely improve for racing at Southwell. I think Hughie Morrison has a similar surface at his stables so the horses get used to Fibresand at home.

It was meant to be around an 8-1 shot according to the racecard but is now only 3-1 so I'm having £50 on it before it gets any shorter in price.

Hughie Morrison does have another runner in the 17.30, Suspension, but this is drifting out in price and the favourite has been heavily backed so I'm either going to leave that or do a small double.

Hughie Morrisons record:

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I give up! I must've killed horses in a previous life or something.

Greenjock wrote:

I give up! I must've killed horses in a previous life or something.

Have you ever eaten Tesco burgers?

c'mon then jock,
whats your top tip for the national next week?

alannotivvy wrote:

c'mon then jock,
whats your top tip for the national next week?

I'll preview the race next week. See how the ground is. Then you'll know which horses to avoid.

Last years Gold Cup winner, the 2nd Fav Sizing John is now out of next weeks race due to an injury.

Can't remember the name of the local maid who fell at the first in the Gold Cup last year but I think she's worth a follow if she has a ride during the festival. She's a canny lass and has shown well in many races including riding a winner at Aintree last year.

Another jockey to look out for is Jack Kennedy. Young Irish lad.

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As for the horses: I'll go for Un De Sceau.

Bryony Frost from Buckfastleigh?

That's her.

One to watch, I reckon.

You have to look outside Geraghty, Walsh and Johnson to get any value because as soon as they are named the price tumbles.

I quite like Charlie Deutsch, too.

wasting my money on  3.30 Elgin 14/1 e/w
                                   5.30 Barney Down 8/1 e/w

1.30 Kalashnikov 5/1

The boy Jack Kennedy is on Apples Jade in the 4:10 @ 8/13 which is far too short to be on when they will be running through a swamp. There has to be more luck had by playing the odds a bit and hoping for the best. He's also on Tycoon Prince in the 17:30 @ 14/1.

Charlie Deutsch is on Yala Enki in the 2:50 also @ 14/1.

So there's a nice 240/1 e/e double for you!

Yala Enki
Tycoon Prince

But it is going to swampy so the week could a bookie's dream and punter's bloodbath.

Just saw Jack Kennedy on Mengli Khan in the opener too. Missed that one before.

Mengli Khan 3rd @ 14/1 for a few each way pennies!

Yala Enki a bit too keen. Prominent early on but had already sweated up badly, clipped one with half a doz to go and tailed off.

Just noticed that Sir Geoffrey is running again at Southwell 5.15. He's won about 10 times on the surface and has been running well lately. 13/2 at the moment.

alannotivvy wrote:

Just noticed that Sir Geoffrey is running again at Southwell 5.15.  He's won about 10 times on the surface and has been running well lately.   13/2 at the moment.

But can he run in the wet?